...AREAS OF INTEREST../1800Z 

.. AREA ONE

AT 200 PM ET...INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THAT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 870 MILES
TO THE EAST OF BARBADOS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS REGION ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY THE EARLY PART
OF THE WORK WEEK. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO TREK TOWARD THE WEST AT
15 TO 20 MPH AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLIES. AS IT NEARS THE LESSER
ANTILLES, THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
WHERE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THE FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM. 

...24-HR POTENTIAL FORMATION...80%...HIGH
...48-HR POTENTIAL FORMATION...90%...VERY HIGH
...120-HR POTENTIAL FORMATION...90%...VERY HIGH

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDED ON AN AXIS ALONG 23W EXTENDING FROM 21N TO 5N AND IS
TRACKING TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON
SHOWED ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. 

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDED ON AN AXIS ALONG 73W EXTENDING FROM 20N TO 6N AND IS
TRACKING TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM WAS PRODUCING LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. 

...ITCZ & MONSOON TROUGH...

THE ITCZ/MON6SOON TROUGH STARTS NEAR 20N/17W AND MOVES SSW JUST S OF THE CABO
VERDE ISLANDS TO AROUND 15N/25W AND MOVES WWRD TO 14N/35W AND DIPS SSW TO 9N/50W.
LITTLE CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY NOTED THIS MORNING ALONG THE ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH 
WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING THE AREA OF INTEREST MIDWAY BETWEEN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
AND THE LEEWARD/WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS.