Day 3 Fire Potential Outlook

USA Weather — Climate Division

This outlook is expired and is no longer valid.

Issued
16:22Z Wed, May 18
Valid
12Z Fri, May 20 - 12Z Sat, May 21
Forecaster
Michael Foland

FORECAST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A LARGE SCALE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHWEST, AND HOT / DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN. RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS, ALTHOUGH GENERALLY 10-15% RH WILL BE EXPECTED, AND 25-35 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS....COMBINED WITH DRY FOSSIL FUELS WILL ALLOW FOR FIRE STARTS ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE THERE IS SOME LOW CONFIDENCE ON DAY 3 -- HIGHER PROBABILITIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN FUTURE OUTLOOKS TO ADDRESS THIS THREAT.